A Primer On Data Correlation for Marketers

BriteWire uses data science to drive intelligent marketing decisions. When making a presentation to a new customer, I like to include a quick primer on Data Correlation to help them understand how powerful it can be in revealing trends, patterns, and characteristics of success for their business.

When two sets of data are strongly linked together we say they have a High Correlation. The classic textbook example used to demonstrate correlated data is height / weight data sets for human beings. The data indicates that a person’s weight is dependent on how tall they are, with shorter people tending to weigh less than taller people.

BriteWire uses correlation in many ways. We first use it to validate data sources. This is done by using known data values to check if they correlate with the data set we are analyzing but have not yet validated. This is best demonstrated using some simple data sets with known public data.

The following chart (figure 1) is a data set that measures visitor interest in Yellowstone National Park correlated with Glacier National Park.

Data Correlation – Validating Data

figure 1

Both of these parks publish Visitation Statistics, so we can use these known values to validate the data set we are working with. Visitors per year to Yellowstone National Park are approximately just over 3 million per year, with visitors to Glacier National Park averaging slightly lower at just over 2 million. Analyzing the published data in more detail reveals that there is seasonality, with the summer months being the period of highest visitation.

Looking at the chart we see that the data set indicates interest in Yellowstone National Park is higher than interest in Glacier National Park, and that interest peaks during the summer months. The data set correlates with the published data from the National Parks.

Scatter Plots are often used to visualize correlated data because they indicate how strong the correlation is. In the next chart (figure 2) web wearch activity for Yellowstone National Park and Glacier National Park are displayed in a scatter plot.

Data Correlation – Strong Correlation

figure 2

The scatter plot in figure 2 is showing a Strong Positive Correlation between Web Search Activity for Yellowstone National Park, and Glacier National Park. A user searching for information on Yellowstone National Park also appears to be searching for information on Glacier National Park. This makes sense because they are both located in the state Montana, and many people are interested in visiting both during their vacation.

As a result, your content marketing strategy should group these two subjects together, and perhaps cross link / cross promote between them. If you are a tour opporator perhaps you create a travel package that includes visiting both parks. These are very basic take-a-ways, but you get the idea.

A week correlation is easy to visualize with a scatter plot. The last chart(figure 3) is the scatter plot for web search activity for Yellowstone National Park and Katy Perry.

Data Correlation – Weak Correlation

figure 3

Not surprisingly the scatter plot indicates a week correlation between these two data sets.

In addition to validating data sets, Data Correlation can be used in many different ways to drive intelligent decisions for marketers, including social marketing strategy, content marketing, and interpreting data sets derived from Buzz Monitoring.

We will explore Data Correlation in greater detail in future articles as we explore these topics and more.

Category : BriteWire Blog


Big Data – Why It Is Important For Marketing

Big data is a term used to describe the exponential growth in the amount of data generated and stored. The analysis of big data will become increasingly important to marketers because it leads to more intelligent decision making.

Big Data MarketingThe software industry has been defined by major shifts or transitions in the technical landscape. Having been in the tech industry for over 25 years, I have been involved with many of these waves. The PC wave, which was followed by the Client Server wave that revolutionized Enterprise Computing. This was followed by the Open Source wave, followed by the rapid rise(and brief collapse) of the Internet wave, Social Networks, and Mobile Computing.

One of the most exciting developments is the rise in Big Data and Cognitive Computing. In the last 2 years humans have generated more data than they have in the history of mankind. To put that in perspective you need to consider that humans have been around for over 200,000 years!

In the last 2 years humans have generated more data than they have in the history of mankind. To put that in perspective you need to consider that humans have been around for over 200,000 years!

Some of this data is being put to good use, but most of it isn’t being used in meaningful ways… yet.

I see a huge opportunity to use all the data and organize it in meaningful ways for data driven decisions, especially when it comes to marketing decisions.

That is the idea behind BriteWire…. Big Data analysis to drive Intelligent Internet Marketing.

BriteWire ingests large amounts of data and analyzes it to reveal trends, patterns, and characteristics of success. Just as important as the vast volume of data being generated is the timeliness of the data. Real time or near time analysis and monitoring of data can provide valuable information about emerging trends. When impending crises are identified you can be alerted before the situation becomes damaging.

In a world in which knowledge is power, what you don’t know can hurt you.

In future blog posts I will be diving into these topics and more. If you are interested in Big Data, Internet Marketing, Brand Development, and Internet Technology then follow along as I explore these topics in greater detail.

I will also be writing articles and posts about Competitive Intelligence, Social Networks, Cloud Computing, Content Marketing, and “Buzz Monitoring”.

Category : BriteWire Blog


Facebook Advertising Fraud – Fake Likes

Facebook Fake Likes

It is well known that Facebook’s advertising model has questionable effectiveness. There is substantial evidence to support the statement that Facebook’s revenue is based on fake Likes.

The effectiveness of Facebook as an advertising platform first came into question in 2012 when savvy users started realising that users accounting for 80% of Facebook likes for a page only had 1% of user engagement.

This disconnect in Likes and engagement led to tests conducted by users to understand what was going on with Facebook Likes.

There are two ways to purchase Facebook Likes. The illegitimate way, and the legitimate way that Facebook sells you.

The illegitimate way is to go to a 3rd party website and purchase Likes.

Facebook does not want businesses purchasing “Fake Likes” from 3rd parties, but Facebook themselves are more than willing to sell you as many “Fake Likes” as you are willing to purchase.

This is what Facebook feels is the legitimate way. They call these other websites “scams” for selling Likes for your Facebook Page because these users will not have a genuine interest in what your Page is about.

But the Likes generated from Facebook’s own advertising programs to advertise your page also result in a massive number of Fake Likes and poor engagement.

The US State Department famously paid $630,000 to acquire 2 Million fans, then realized engagement was 2%.

There are a few well known examples of journalists documenting their own experience with this. I am capturing them here for reference in the future.

The case of Virtual Bagel Ltd.

Virtual Bagel Ltd had over 4,000 likes on Facebook. They had a brilliant business model: “We send you bagels via the Internet – just download and enjoy.”

This was a fake Facebook page set up bu BBC Technology Correspondent Rory Cellan-Jones in 2012. He wanted to find out how much a “Like” was worth on a Facebook page.

After creating the fake page, Cellan-Jones created a Facebook advertising campaign. He set a budget of $10 and launched it. Within minutes people were starting to “like” his meaningless Facebook page. Within 24 hours the fake page had 1,600 likes – and he had spent his $10 budget.

Ultimately, the Virtual Bagel page gathered over 4,000 Likes.

Cellan-Jones analyzed where the “likes” where coming from, and looked at what other pages some of these Facebook accounts had liked. It was obvious that face Facebook accounts associated with Click Farms were liking the page, which resulted in zero engagement.

But he had not hired a Click Farm. He paid for Facebook Ads.

In August of that year Facebook announced it had identified and removed over 83 Million fake accounts, but they did not delete the fake Likes.

The article is here: https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-18819338

The case of Virtual Cat

Popular YouTube channel Veritasium launched the fake Facebook page Virtual Cat in February 2014 to test Facebook’s advertising to determine if it still generated fake Likes.

The page had the following description: “Virtual Cat is a virtual pet like none other. Here we’ll post only the worst, most annoying drivel you can imagine. Only an idiot would like this page.”

The Page had one post saying the following: “PLEASE HELP This page is actually an experiment created by Veritasium, a science YouTube channel. If you can see this post please comment briefly and let me know why you liked this page(because this page is intentionally blank and meaningless). The experiment is to find out who would like a page like this and why. Thank you!”

The creator of the page then paid $10 to advertise it on Facebook. He targed the advertisement only to cat lovers in the United States, Canada, Australia, and the United Kingdom. This was done to avoid the countries where click farms commonly operate.

Within 20 minutes the entire marketing budget was spent, and the page had 39 likes.

Upon analysis of the users that had liked the page, they all liked thousands of other pages.

After spending $25 on Facebook Advertising the Virtual Cat page had 262 Page Likes. 8 People saw the post. 0 People engaged.

The video is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oVfHeWTKjag

The key learning from these examples is that Click Farms click the Facebook advertisements for free in order to avoid detection by Facebook’s fraud algorithms. Facebook benefits financially from this and isn’t motivated to resolve it.

The article Likes or lies? How perfectly honest businesses can be overrun by Facebook spammers by Jaron Schneider is an excellent article that provides more information on this topic.

https://thenextweb.com/facebook/2014/01/23/likes-lies-perfectly-honest-businesses-can-overrun-facebook-spammers/

Popular Click Farm Locations

Click Farms are typically found in developing countries like India, The Phillapines, Nepal, Shri Lanka, Egypt, Indonesia, Bangladesh where employees are paid $1 for 1,000 clicks of the Facebook “Like” button.